China in Africa
China's Engagement with Africa: Where Does it Stand?
28 Jun, 2019 · 5595
Anand Benegal takes a synoptic view of China's engagement with the African continent in conjunction with those of the US and the EU
China’s engagement with the Africa continent has been analysed to examine a variety
of aspects and a substantial portion of those analyses focus on the dept trap and
resource curse concerns. However, an analysis of Beijing’s multidimensional relational
policy comprising economics and culture and a comparison of China's presence in
Africa with those of the US and the EU shows that China is the continent’s most
favoured partner.
China's Multidimensional Partnership
with Africa
For
some time now, China has consistently been Africa’s
largest single trading partner, having surpassed the US in 2009. In terms of
trade volume, only the EU-Africa partnership is far greater, at US$ 314 billion
compared to China's US$ 170 billion in 2017. Similarly, Chinese FDI has shown
dramatic growth, from US$ 74.8 million in 2003 to US$ 4.1 billion in 2017. According
to McKinsey, thousands of Chinese firms employ and train millions of African
workers, across diverse sectors including energy, infrastructure and manufacturing.
Chinese commerce holds a diversified portfolio and is in Africa for the
long-term, suggesting that profits from demographic dividend-driven growth is
Beijing’s primary goal.
More controversially, the speed
and secrecy in Chinese One Belt One Road project related investments have escalated
China into becoming Africa’s largest creditor. These investments are typically long-term
commitments in sectors such as transport, energy, mining, and communications. However, in Africa, China is viewed
as a benevolent trustee. This is largely due to how Beijing has forged a
thriving cultural partnership. Sino-African cultural relations range from research
and education to language and culture. The Communist Party of China also provides
diplomatic training to African politicians and entrepreneurs, which contribute
to this favourable image among emerging African leaders. Sino-African research partnerships
have garnered positive media reception for increasing employment and knowledge
opportunities. Local telecommunications and agri-technology are among the most notable
successes. A recent article
in Nature goes so far as to state
that “on the technological front, China is unmatched in Africa.”
Meanwhile, 59 Confucius Institutes (CIs) are
involved in teaching Mandarin Chinese along with Chinese culture in over 30 African
countries, second only to France's 115 Alliance Françaises in 35 African
countries. CIs supplement diplomacy and promote cultural and educational
outreach programmes. The stringency of China’s visa policy also means African
countries do not fear brain drain. Despite some harboring fears over the
one-sidedness of this cultural relationship, the wider African populace has
welcomed these educational opportunities.
China, US and EU in Africa
The conspicuous contrast is in military
presence: the US has thousands of troops stationed across Africa, conducting
counterterrorism and training operations. Precise force estimates are unclear,
but the footprint is substantial—34 military outposts were observed in 2018.
Likewise, the EU too holds military programmes. EU countries with sizeable military
presence include Germany (in Mali, Somalia and Niger) and France (in Chad, Cote
d’Ivoire, Djibouti, and Gabon). These external forces are often resented by the
locals as the former tend to entangle themselves in regional conflicts. For
instance, France launched airstrikes against political rebels in Chad in February
2019, and their siding with President Idriss Deby’s regime was heavily
criticised.
China has only recently shifted from
its non-intervention policy. Aside from establishing a military base in
Djibouti, China has increased contributions to UN peacekeeping missions, offering
to contribute 8000 troops and to train regional peacekeeping forces in 2015. While Western countries have a
long history of continental military intervention, China has hitherto benefited
from a lack of equivalent history. Beijing is trying to smoothen its growing
military ambitions in Africa through diplomacy: the first China-Africa Defense
and Security Forum took place in Beijing in June 2018. However, the nature of China’s response if/when
embroiled in local/regional conflicts will be a factor that sculpts the
trajectory of this relationship. Insofar, not having faced this issue has
helped Beijing's popularity with African leaders, whereas poor handling of a
regional conflict could affect Beijing’s popularity.
Popularity surveys by
Afrobarometer (2014) and Pew Research Center (2016) show that regional African
populations view China warmly. 51 African leaders were present at the Forum on
Africa-China Cooperation in Beijing compared to 27 at the UN General Assembly held
in October 2018. Although historically, the US has been Africa’s preferred ally,
a 2017
Pew survey shows China overtaking the US in terms of popular favourability,
in at least three out of six African countries surveyed, with a tie in one (Kenya).
Consolidating the decline of the US’ popularity is the ongoing US-China trade
war which adversely impacts African economies, bringing the continent closer to
China.
China's multidimensional African
policy has been a diplomatic victory compared to the US’s and the EU’s
policies, which are heavily focused on regional security. Reacting to China, the
EU unveiled a set of economic proposals towards Africa in September 2018, and the
US’ National Security Advisor John Bolton announced a US-Africa strategy that
December. These new proposals are similar to the multidimensional partnerships which
currently underpin Sino-African relations.
Looking Ahead
The quick and emphatic marriage of
economic and cultural diplomacy has been central to China’s rise in Africa.
However, efforts to expand its military presence in conflict-ridden regions in
the continent could affect this popularity among people and elites alike. How
China navigates its security interests whilst evading the fallouts of regional
conflicts could determine how its standing—as Africa’s most valued partner—progresses.
Anand Benegal is a Research Intern at IPCS' China Research Programme.