The FATF ‘Grey List’ and Pakistan’s Prospects
29 Jan, 2021 · 5753
Katyayinee Richchariya argues that past trends and recent developments suggest that Pakistan might be retained in the FATF's grey list again.
On 8 January 2021, a Pakistani court sentenced senior Lashkar-e-Taiba leader, Zaki-ur-Rahman Lakhvi, the
mastermind of the 2008 Mumbai terror attacks, to a five-year imprisonment on
terror financing charges. This came weeks ahead of the February 2021 Financial
Action Task Force (FATF) plenary meeting that will decide on Pakistan’s
listing. Pakistan’s
retention in the FATF ‘grey’ list thus far,
despite serious shortcomings in its compliance, suggest that the country might
be retained in the grey list in the upcoming meeting as well.
Recent Developments
On 26 July 2020, Pakistan announced
a set of eight legislations to implement the eight-point to do list, following the country’s retention on the FATF’s February 2020 ‘grey list’, and in light of the then
upcoming FATF meeting (October 2020). Apart from a formulating a variety of
measures that were largely superficial, the administration also portrayed the opposition’s ‘attitude’ as being a hinderance to the country’s efforts aimed at curbing
terror financing.
Of the eight legislations, the Anti-Money Laundering (Second Amendment) Bill and the Islamabad Capital Territory Waqf Properties Bill, are of particular interest. They were passed through a Joint Assembly in September
2020. The Anti-Money Laundering (Second
Amendment) Bill is aimed at expand the
National Accountability Bureau’s jurisdiction by including transactions
classified as money laundering in it and by regulating jewelers, lawyers, real
estate agents, chartered accountants and
people involved in businesses related to precious stones. The Waqf Properties Bill broadens the definition of Waqf Properties to
include any property used for any religious purposes and enables government regulation of these in the capital area
of Islamabad.
However, this is not the first time Pakistan has
formulated laws on money laundering or to counter terrorism, only to be
rendered ineffectual due to lack of genuine political will for enforcement. For
example, despite instituting National Counter Terrorism Authority in 2009 and
the parliament having outlined its mandate in 2013, 1500 of the 12000 candidates in the 2018 general elections were
directly or indirectly affiliated with extremist groups.
Meanwhile, in August 2020, Pakistan sanctioned around 88 individuals affiliated with various terrorist outfits,
including the Afghan Taliban, in a bid to project compliance with FATF recommendations.
A month earlier, the UN Security Council Analytical Support and Sanctions
Monitoring Team had found 6500 “Pakistani foreign terrorist fighters” currently active in Afghanistan—a significant increase
from the estimate of 400-600 al Qaeda fighters in Team’s January 2020 report. Many of these terrorists are actively recruited/inducted by Pakistan-based terror outfits like
Jaish-e-Muhammad and Lashkar-e-Taiba.
However, Pakistan has tended to enforce its anti-terror laws
selectively, and countering of terror groups is also often an exercise in
cherry picking. For instance, Islamabad/Rawalpindi differentiates
between terrorists it considers to be its ‘assets’ (such as the
Lashkar-e-Taiba, the Afghan Taliban etc), other terror and violent extremist
outfits targeting Pakistan such as the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, and Baloch
separatist groups; it views even peaceful dissent
by aggrieved citizens as a threat to peace—a
pattern which was also noted in the 2019 US Country Report on Terrorism. Additionally, just days before the
October 2020 FATF meeting convened, the Australia-based Asia-Pacific Group’s review report identified Pakistan as having complied with 11 of the
FATF’s 40 recommendations, with complete compliance in only two.
Further, those terrorists sanctioned by Pakistan in August 2020 include key leaders of the Afghan
Taliban, including its co-founder and deputy political head, Mullah Abdul Ghani
Baradar, and the head of the Haqqani Network, Sirajuddin Haqqani, among others;
and they are subject to travel bans and asset freezes. However, given how the
negotiations between the Taliban and the Afghan government have commenced
following the signing of the February 2020 US-Taliban agreement, key Afghan
Taliban leaders, including Baradar, have continued to be able to travel freely between Doha, Pakistan, Iran etc; and
Taliban offensives in Afghanistan have only skyrocketed. Moreover, given the extensive linkages between the terrorist outfits operating in the
Afghanistan-Pakistan region, these sanctions are unlikely to bear meaningful
results.
Meanwhile, several armed groups have
also continued to receive foreign funds and assistance due to the lackadaisical asset
freezing and due to them operating under more than one name. For instance, the Council on American-Islamic Relations and Islamic
Circle of North America, groups affiliated to Jamaat-e-Islami, have been endorsed by the US federal agencies, even though the FBI had ended ties with them over terror funding charges in 2009. Such gaps result in these terror groups ultimately
becoming the beneficiaries.
Looking Ahead
While indeed Pakistan too has suffered from terrorism,
the Pakistani state has also been an enabler of terrorism; and these two
circumstances are not mutually exclusive. An FATF blacklisting of Pakistan may be
needed to ensure that Islamabad takes concrete action to combat terror
financing in earnest. However, Pakistan’s role
in the effort to reach a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan has provided
Islamabad/Rawalpindi with room to manoeuvre. These factors combined with past
trends and emerging regional geopolitical developments suggest there is a possibility that both blacklisting, and concrete action by Pakistan against terror financing, might be a
distant prospect at this juncture.
Katyayinee Richhariya
is a Research Intern with the Centre for Internal and Regional Security (IReS),
IPCS.