In Context: India’s Renewed IOR Outreach
17 Dec, 2020 · 5746
Dr Sripathi Narayanan explores the big picture relevance of the visits by India's External Affairs Minister and National Security Advisor to Indian Ocean littoral states in November 2020
The simultaneous November 2020 visits by India’s
External Affairs Minister (EAM) Dr S Jaishakar and National Security Advisor
(NSA) Ajit Doval to island-states in the
Indian Ocean Region (IOR) took place in the backdrop of the recently-concluded
Malabar 2020 naval exercise, which involved the Quad, or India,
Australia, Japan and the US. The Malabar Exercise and renewed vigour of Quad interactions have now become the focal point in shaping not only the
narrative but also in laying the foundation for the evolving global and
regional security architecture based around the idea of the Indo-Pacific.
NSA Visit
Doval’s visit to Colombo was aimed
at reviving the NSA-level Trilateral Meeting and Trilateral Maritime
Security Cooperation, now renamed as Maritime and Security Cooperation with Maldives and Sri Lanka, in which Mauritius
and Seychelles participated as observers. Owing to logistical reasons,
Bangladesh, another observer-invitee, did not
participate.
Trilateral cooperation had begun in 2012 with India and the Maldives
inviting Sri Lanka to join their Joint Coast Guard exercise called ‘Dosti’,
which was initiated after the first NSA-level interaction in 2011. Two other IOR countries, Mauritius and Seychelles, were invited as observers during the third
NSA-level interaction in 2014. However, changing domestic political dynamics in
the Maldives brought a hiatus to the trilateral cooperation, which has been revived
only now.
The Colombo consultations gain significance in
this context because it reflects the maturity in bilateral ties among India and
its southern maritime neighbours, as well as the
evolving Indian Ocean security
architecture. This is because in its initial format, India’s maritime
cooperation was limited to island-states in India’s southern maritime
neighbourhood. However, with the shared intention to include Bangladesh as an
observer, the current initiative
seems to be a nascent step towards reflecting the
regional maritime space within IOR.
Independent of the trilateral, during a bilateral meeting, Doval and Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa revived cooperation in other fields that had
been dormant for some time. The two sides, along
with Japan, agreed to proceed with the
commercially and strategically important Colombo Port’s Eastern Container
Terminal (ECT) project. The ECT was mooted in
2016 with a framework in which the Sri Lankan Port Authority (SLPA) would
possess 51 per cent stake. The remainder would be with India as well as Japan, which
has now become an investment partner instead of a
lender.
EAM Visit
While NSA Doval was re-engaging India’s
immediate and traditional partners, EAM Jaishankar was expanding India’s engagement
horizon in the broader context of the IOR. The significance of his visits to Bahrain, UAE, and Seychelles is
visible not necessarily in the outcomes but more in the choice of the
destinations.
The visits to Bahrain and UAE were aimed at ensuring
continuity in regular bilateral engagement and deepening ties, including people-to-people
contact, especially in light of the pandemic. In Seychelles, the two
sides discussed the future of their strategic partnership in the post-COVID-19
era. The significance of this visit also lies in Seychelles’s
centrality both in the context of India’s ‘Security and Growth for All in the
Region’ framework in the IOR and New Delhi’s ‘Neighbourhood First’ Policy.
Jaishankar’s outreach in Seychelles was also
aimed at reinforcing bilateral ties and reaching out to the newly elected government
of its Indian origin President, Wavel Ramkalawan, who took charge in October 2020. For India, the importance of engaging the new
dispensation is also in ensuring that Seychelles’ domestic politics do not
impinge on bilateral and regional engagement. Since 1977 until Ramkalawan’s electoral victory, Seychelles had
been governed by a single political party, albeit with occasional nomenclature changes.
The objective of Jaishankar’s visit was to engage with Ramkalawan, a long-time leader of Seychelles’ opposition party, and also to ensure the revival of India’s
strategic undertaking in Seychelles’ Assumption Island agreed upon by with previous dispensation in
2018, which had been stalled by the then opposition.
India’s outreach to the new government
can be viewed as New Delhi's act of reassurance, and an attempt to
de-hyphenate domestic politics from bilateral and regional engagements. This is
also because in this decade, India has experienced first-hand the effects of the toxic confluence between domestic
electoral politics and strategic engagement, with Maldives and Sri Lanka being
cases in point.
Reconstructing the IOR
As part of the Trilateral Maritime and
Security Cooperation, India, Maldives, and Sri Lanka have agreed to
establish a Regional Maritime Security Secretariat in Colombo, staffed by the Sri
Lankan Ministry of Defence personnel, to coordinate all aspects of maritime
security between the three countries. However, the inclusion of observers offers potential to increase the scope of India’s Indian Ocean outlook and encompass
the IOR as a whole, with future expansion prospects for the regional grouping.
This begs the
question: will the proposed secretariat in Colombo be the gateway for India’s
IOR outreach, and a vehicle for institutional mechanism for future engagement—beyond
President Rajapaksa’s stated position that Sri Lanka’s foreign and security
policy is ‘India First’?
Dr. Sripathi
Narayanan is an independent analyst on national security and foreign policy. He
can be contacted at sripathi.narayanan@gmail.com.