India and its Neighbourhood
India: The Need to Engage with Iran, Afghanistan and Central Asian Countries Collectively
08 Apr, 2019 · 5576
Niranjan Marjani argues why India's engagement with Iran, Afghanistan and the Central Asian countries requires a significant re-caliberation.
On December 24 2018 India took over the
operations of the Shahid Beheshti Port in Chabahar, Iran. The
development of this port is considered as an important step for India towards
increasing its economic and strategic outreach in the region. Through the Chabahar
Port project, India is developing a transit corridor that would provide it with
access to Afghanistan and the Central Asian region.
For optimal results, however, the current nature of
India’s bilateral engagements with Iran, Afghanistan and the Central Asian countries
would require significant recalibration in order to engage with the three
entities in a collective manner.
Core Factors Defining India’s
Engagement
Historical,
civilisational and cultural ties are common threads in India’s engagements with
Iran, Afghanistan and the Central Asian region. These factors have dominated
India’s contacts with these three entities since the establishment of
diplomatic ties with each. However, while historical ties are a common thread,
this has not resulted in India formulating policies aimed at collective
engagement with the three entities in the related spheres. Nor has this soft
power connection resulted in developing collective relations in the strategic sphere.
On the regional level, India’s interactions with the three have, at times, been
influenced by attempts at balancing New Delhi’s relations with the regions and
New Delhi’s relations with other powers.
Apart
from cultural ties, India’s relations with these three entities are characterised
by a few specific separate considerations. Iran is one of India’s largest sources
of energy imports. India is the second largest buyer of Iran’s oil after China. Oil trade between India and Iran
has become a dominant feature after India adopted liberal economic policies and
India’s demand for oil increased to supplement a growing economy.
On Afghanistan,
both New Delhi and Kabul enjoyed close relations until the Afghan civil war and
the Taliban rule. During the Taliban rule, relations between India and
Afghanistan underwent a tumultuous phase. However, in the post-Taliban period,
India-Afghanistan relations have been defined by India’s developmental
assistance in Afghanistan.
Meanwhile,
India’s relations with the individual Central Asian countries are fairly young
given how the countries in the region came into existence only in 1991. For the most part, trade has been a common driving
factor in India’s engagement with all five countries, though over the past few
years, India has gradually also begun to participate in joint military
exercises. Additionally, Tajikistan has been hosting Indian Air Force and Border
Roads Organisation personnel at its Ayni air base. Overall, at present, India’s
relations with Central Asian countries could be considered as being in a
developing phase.
Impediments to India’s Strategy
While
India enjoys cordial relations with Iran, Afghanistan and Central Asian
countries, the lack of a coherent overarching strategy linking the individual bilateral
relationships has resulted in India’s limited interaction with the
abovementioned countries in a collective manner. A general impediment has been
that more focus has been placed on soft power than hard power projection. There
are three key elements that could be identified as impediments resulting in
India’s lack of a uniform policy for collective engagement with Iran,
Afghanistan and Central Asian countries. These three factors are: power play in
the region, India’s limited manoeuvring in the maritime domain, and
connectivity.
All the entities
have been subject to intense power play between regional and extra-regional
powers such as Russia, China and the US. India has largely remained outside the
competition for strategic space in the region, and this has resulted in New
Delhi being unable to gain a strategic footprint in the region.
India’s
relative neglect of the maritime domain is another factor. Much like India not
gaining room for strategic manoeuvring on land in any of the three areas, the
state-of-affairs is the same in the maritime domain as well. Limited presence
in the maritime sphere and absence of a well-defined maritime security policy
has kept India away from gaining access to the regions.
India has
always cited connectivity related shortcomings as a major factor that has
prevented meaningful and deeper engagements, especially with Afghanistan and
Central Asia. Since these entities are landlocked and can be accessed by land only
through Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied territories, this adds to India’s
obstacles in collective engagement.
India’s Prevailing Strategy
India’s
prevailing strategy for engagement with Iran, Afghanistan and the Central Asian
countries could be considered at two levels – India’s cooperation with regional
and extra regional powers having a stake in the region, and an Afghanistan-centric
approach. India’s role in the region, particularly in Afghanistan, has been in
cooperation with the US, and recently, with China
after the Wuhan Summit. India is yet to expand its role in Afghanistan and in
the entire region. On a multilateral level India, is part of the Ashgabat
Agreement, the Heart of Asia Conference, the Shanghai Cooperation
Organisation (SCO) and India-Central
Asia Dialogue. The India-Central Asia Dialogue prominently highlighted Afghanistan’s political
and security situation.
However, India’s present strategy has its share of
challenges. If the Afghanistan-centric approach forms the basis of India’s
engagement in the region, India does not yet have a strategy to handle the
security situation in Afghanistan. By developing the Chabahar Port, India is
trying to overcome its limited presence in the maritime connectivity domain. However,
until such time New Delhi defines its role in Afghanistan, the Chabahar Port
would yield limited advantage.
India has proposed a multilateral order in the
Indo-Pacific as a counter balance to China. New Delhi could consider a similar arrangement but aimed at collective
engagement with Iran, Afghanistan and the Central Asian countries. An
alternative arrangement would enable India to engage collectively with the
three focus areas and thereby optimise the actualisation of India’s policy
objectives vis-a-vis each individual relationship.
Niranjan
Marjani is an Independent Researcher based in Vadodara, India.